Geopolitics predictions & odds

32 events

Geopolitics

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

$1.4M Vol.$231.84 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

28%

March 31

Geopolitics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

$92,152.93 Vol.$2,537.55 24h—Ends Oct 5, 2026

22%

2-4%

Geopolitics

Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?

$83,514.29 Vol.$1,243.25 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

100%

55-60%

Geopolitics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

$77,652.21 Vol.$7,488.04 24h—Ends Oct 5, 2026

87%

39%+

Geopolitics

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?

$73,343.67 Vol.$107.30 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

27%

December 31

Geopolitics

Russia military action against EU country by...?

$50,408.05 Vol.$18,368.56 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2027

20%

December 31

Geopolitics

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$37,652.13 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2030

50%

Person A

Geopolitics

Greenland deal text released by...?

$29,543.21 Vol.$8,040.51 24h—Ends Oct 1, 2026

83%

September 30

Geopolitics

EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

$26,662.79 Vol.$1,071.06 24h—Ends Nov 1, 2026

65%

December 31

Geopolitics

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?

$25,988.11 Vol.$4,407.13 24h—Ends Oct 8, 2026

Geopolitics

Next President of Kosovo?

$25,708.76 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Apr 30, 2027

50%

Candidate B

Geopolitics

September Inflation China - Annual

$24,072.61 Vol.$39.67 24h—Ends Oct 14, 2026

44%

0.7% to 0.8%

Geopolitics

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?

$23,706.65 Vol.$17,535.90 24h—Ends Oct 8, 2026

43%

15s+

Geopolitics

Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$16,228.96 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

58%

Aliyu Wadada Ahmed

Geopolitics

Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$16,223.27 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

83%

Chinda Kingsley Ogundu

Geopolitics

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

$16,143.53 Vol.$20.49 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

18%

October 31

Geopolitics

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

$15,542.40 Vol.$75.88 24h—Ends Dec 17, 2026

59%

25 bps increase

Geopolitics

Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$15,361.41 Vol.$21.53 24h—Ends Nov 1, 2027

80%

Umaru Dikko Radda

Geopolitics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

$12,650.05 Vol.$1,193.45 24h—Ends Oct 5, 2026

39%

4-6%

Geopolitics

Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$11,688.62 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

78%

Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh

Geopolitics

Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$11,399.30 Vol.$40.00 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

62%

Abimbola Adekanmbi

Geopolitics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

$11,357.99 Vol.$2,901.32 24h—Ends Oct 5, 2026

52%

44%+

Geopolitics

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

$10,554.36 Vol.$4,930.10 24h—Ends Oct 8, 2026

Geopolitics

Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$9,335.18 Vol.$278.13 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

77%

Solomon Olamilekan Adeola

Geopolitics

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

$8,743.33 Vol.$1,109.53 24h—Ends Oct 8, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$8,457.58 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

83%

Obafemi Hamzat

Geopolitics

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

$7,344.40 Vol.$45.59 24h—Ends Oct 4, 2026

75%

SNSD

Geopolitics

Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$6,837.27 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

87%

Baba Wali

Geopolitics

NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?

$6,760.56 Vol.$610.66 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2027

Geopolitics

Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$6,551.63 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

72%

Agbu Kefas

Geopolitics

Sokoto, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$6,514.57 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Feb 6, 2027

65%

Ahmed Aliyu

Geopolitics

Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner

$6,405.03 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Nov 1, 2027

76%

APC