Iran predictions & odds

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32 events

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

$277.7M Vol.$26,974.45 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

59%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$74.8M Vol.$55,304.14 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

6%

December 31

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$69.8M Vol.$26,392.32 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

16%

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$55.2M Vol.$479.10 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

0%

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

$39.6M Vol.$5,376.53 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

88%

Mojtaba Khamenei

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$32.7M Vol.$182k 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

73%

March 31

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$31.7M Vol.$78,091.60 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

98%

September 30

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$29.5M Vol.$711.40 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

6%

December 31

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$26.4M Vol.$19,556.93 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

7%

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$26.3M Vol.$29,899.48 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

23%

June 30, 2027

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$22.1M Vol.$943.35 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

4%

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$18.7M Vol.$149k 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

13%

December 31

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

8%

December 31

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$12.5M Vol.$760k 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

100%

March 31, 2027

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

$12.2M Vol.$3,204.75 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

0%

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$11.8M Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

3%

Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran full airspace closure by...?

$9.9M Vol.$25,496.16 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

28%

December 31

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

$8M Vol.$23,606.98 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2027

100%

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$7.8M Vol.$455.25 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

3%

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

$7.2M Vol.$2,133.85 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

19%

December 31

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$4.7M Vol.$29,495.03 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

79%

September 30

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$4.2M Vol.$509k 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

92%

September 30

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

$3.2M Vol.$1,863.40 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

23%

December 31

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

$2.7M Vol.$8,908.88 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

24%

October 31

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

$2.7M Vol.$41,818.41 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

0%

Iran coup attempt by...?

Iran coup attempt by...?

$2.1M Vol.$50.00 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

10%

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

$2M Vol.$104k 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

67%

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

11%

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$1.8M Vol.$20.00 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

11%

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

$1.6M Vol.$67,594.78 24h—Ends Oct 1, 2026

68%

October 31