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3
Iran
129
Oil
2
Ukraine
39
Ukraine Map
17
Cuba
1
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6
Middle East
32
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7
Israel
63
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4
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2
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1
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24
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Geopolitics
Geopolitics
All
Iran
Oil
Ukraine
Ukraine Map
Cuba
Venezuela
Middle East
Gaza
Israel
Syria
Yemen
Turkey
Sudan
China
Thailand-Cambodia
India-Pakistan
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
March 31
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
December 31
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
October 31
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
September 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.4M Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?
2-4%
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
4-6%
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
6-8%
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
<2%
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
8%+
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$92k Vol.
Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?
55-60%
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
60%+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50-55%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
45-50%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
40-45%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<40%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$84k Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
39%+
87%
Yes
87%
No
13%
36-39%
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
<30%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
33-36%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
30-33%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$78k Vol.
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
December 31
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
September 30
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$73k Vol.
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
September 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$50k Vol.
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
Person A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$38k Vol.
Greenland deal text released by...?
September 30
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
September 23
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
$30k Vol.
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?
December 31
65%
Yes
65%
No
35%
October 31
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
$27k Vol.
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$26k Vol.
Next President of Kosovo?
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$26k Vol.
September Inflation China - Annual
0.7% to 0.8%
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
0.9% to 1.0%
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
0.5% to 0.6%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
1.1%+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
≤0.4%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$24k Vol.
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?
15s+
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
10–15s
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
6–10s
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
2–6s
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
<2s
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Photographed only
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$24k Vol.
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed
58%
Yes
58%
No
42%
Candidate A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$16k Vol.
Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Chinda Kingsley Ogundu
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
Candidate R
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate S
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate T
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate U
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate V
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$16k Vol.
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?
October 31
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
September 30
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
$16k Vol.
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
25 bps increase
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
No change
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
50+ bps increase
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
25 bps decrease
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$16k Vol.
Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Umaru Dikko Radda
80%
Yes
80%
No
20%
Candidate A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$15k Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?
4-6%
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
2-4%
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
6%+
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
1-2%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
<1%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$13k Vol.
Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
78%
Yes
78%
No
22%
Candidate A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$12k Vol.
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Abimbola Adekanmbi
62%
Yes
62%
No
38%
Candidate G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate H
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate I
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate J
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate K
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$11k Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
44%+
52%
Yes
52%
No
48%
41-44%
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
38-41%
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
35-38%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
<35%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$11k Vol.
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$11k Vol.
Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola
77%
Yes
77%
No
23%
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$9k Vol.
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$9k Vol.
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi Hamzat
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
Candidate A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$8k Vol.
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
SNSD
75%
Yes
75%
No
25%
Party A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$7k Vol.
Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Baba Wali
87%
Yes
87%
No
13%
Candidate A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$7k Vol.
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$7k Vol.
Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Agbu Kefas
72%
Yes
72%
No
28%
Candidate A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$7k Vol.
Sokoto, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Ahmed Aliyu
65%
Yes
65%
No
35%
Candidate A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$7k Vol.
Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner
APC
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
Party B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$6k Vol.
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