Science predictions & odds

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32 events

OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

$3M Vol.$16,454.40 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2026

57%

June 30, 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$731k Vol.$5,546.35 24h—Ends Jun 30, 2027

98%

October 31

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

76%

December 31, 2027

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

$276k Vol.$1,813.17 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2027

57%

November 2026

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

46%

Hodge Conjecture

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$150k Vol.$415.31 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2027

67%

December 31, 2027

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$89,108.42 Vol.$500.81 24h—Ends Dec 31, 2027

46%

$1.75–$2.00T

GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price

GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price

$83,702.32 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Nov 19, 2026

97%

$60+

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

$82,679.37 Vol.$11,013.09 24h—Ends Oct 1, 2026

79%

↑$975B

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

$79,812.43 Vol.$2,247.26 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

12%

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

$72,654.10 Vol.$588.24 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2028

20%

December 31, 2029

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

63%

December 31, 2027

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

$58,333.01 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2028

21%

December 31, 2029

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$52,566.23 Vol.$670.04 24h—Ends Jun 30, 2027

83%

June 30, 2027?

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

$51,360.05 Vol.$838.24 24h—Ends Jan 21, 2027

91%

Matt Damon

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

$51,223.39 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2030

23%

December 31, 2029

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

$50,996.16 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2029

24%

December 31, 2029

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

$41,097.74 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Mar 14, 2027

50%

Movie A

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$38,747.64 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

76%

$0.60+

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$37,569.69 Vol.$3,293.26 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

46%

$0.75-$1.00

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

$37,294.11 Vol.$1,073.06 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2027

10%

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

$36,644.76 Vol.$1,313.48 24h—Ends Jan 21, 2027

100%

The Odyssey

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$34,133.50 Vol.$283.60 24h—Ends Jan 1, 2027

36%

Hodge Conjecture

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$33,436.94 Vol.$10,761.40 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

28%

$4.50-$5.00

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

$31,475.01 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Mar 14, 2027

50%

Actor B

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$30,125.06 Vol.$3,696.29 24h—Ends Oct 31, 2026

92%

$6.50+

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

$29,871.29 Vol.$6,216.93 24h—Ends Sep 30, 2026

60%

$900B-$1.00T

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

$29,109.04 Vol.$0.00 24h—Ends Mar 14, 2027

50%

Movie A

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

$29,044.20 Vol.$306.33 24h—Ends Mar 14, 2027

54%

Anne Hathaway

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

$26,365.49 Vol.$130.23 24h—Ends Mar 14, 2027

56%

Christopher Nolan