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8
AI
104
Elon Musk
24
Apple
5
SpaceX
25
OpenAI
35
Research
1
FDA
6
Big Tech
73
TikTok
Science & Tech
Science & Tech
All
AI
Elon Musk
Apple
SpaceX
OpenAI
Research
FDA
Big Tech
TikTok
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPal
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Viking Therapeutics
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
MGM Resorts
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Brown-Forman
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
Snapchat
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Zoom Video Communications
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$18.3M Vol.
Claude 5 released by…?
70%
chance
Yes
No
$4.0M Vol.
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 2027
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
March 31, 2027
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
September 30, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.0M Vol.
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$991k Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
400–600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
300–400B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<100B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$504k Vol.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
October 31, 2026
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$442k Vol.
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
Glasses
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
Earbuds/Headphones
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Necklace
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Watch
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Ring
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$438k Vol.
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
95%
Anthropic
Anthropic
OpenAI
$388k Vol.
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
70%
Yes
70%
No
30%
December 31, 2026
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
September 30, 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$351k Vol.
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
December 31, 2026
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
September 30, 2026
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$349k Vol.
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026
57%
Yes
57%
No
43%
December 2026
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
January 2027
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
No IPO before 2028
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
February 2027
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
October 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$276k Vol.
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
17%
chance
Yes
No
$275k Vol.
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
71%
chance
Yes
No
$200k Vol.
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
Yang-Mills
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
P versus NP
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Riemann Hypothesis
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$199k Vol.
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
1
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
2
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
3
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
4
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
5
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$179k Vol.
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$159k Vol.
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
<20B
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
50B–75B
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
75B–100B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
20B–30B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
30B–40B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$149k Vol.
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
95%
chance
Yes
No
$123k Vol.
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$7.00+
70%
Yes
70%
No
30%
$6.00-$6.50
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$6.50-$7.00
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$5.50-$6.00
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$4.00-$4.50
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$5.00-$5.50
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$91k Vol.
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
100%
SpaceX
SpaceX
OpenAI
$90k Vol.
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.75–$2.00T
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
$2.00–$2.25T
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
$2.25–$2.50T
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$1.50–$1.75T
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$2.50T+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$89k Vol.
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$80k Vol.
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
$0.75-$1.00
72%
Yes
72%
No
28%
$1.00-$1.25
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
$0.50-$0.75
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$1.25-$1.50
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.50+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<$0.50
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$78k Vol.
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?
December 31
90%
Yes
90%
No
10%
September 30
52%
Yes
52%
No
48%
$72k Vol.
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
60%
Yes
60%
No
40%
December 31, 2026
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
September 30, 2026
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$72k Vol.
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$7.50+
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
$7.00-$7.50
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$6.50-$7.00
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<$5.50
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$5.50-$6.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$6.00-$6.50
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$63k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.00-$2.50
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
$3.00-$3.50
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
$1.50-$2.00
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
$3.50-$4.00
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
$2.50-$3.00
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
<$1.50
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$60k Vol.
AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 2027
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$57k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.25-$2.50
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
$2.50-$2.75
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
$2.75-$3.00
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
$3.00-$3.25
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$3.25+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
<$2.25
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$53k Vol.
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
$0.60+
73%
Yes
73%
No
27%
$0.55-$0.60
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$0.50-$0.55
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
<$0.40
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$0.40-$0.45
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$0.45-$0.50
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$52k Vol.
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $5.50
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
↓ $5.00
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
↓ $4.50
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
↓ $4.00
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
↓ $3.50
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
$48k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$4.50-$5.00
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
$4.00-$4.50
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
$5.00-$5.50
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
$5.50-$6.00
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
<$4.00
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$6.00+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$45k Vol.
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