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AI
104
Elon Musk
24
Apple
5
SpaceX
25
OpenAI
35
Research
1
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6
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73
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Science & Tech
Science & Tech
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AI
Elon Musk
Apple
SpaceX
OpenAI
Research
FDA
Big Tech
TikTok
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPal
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
Viking Therapeutics
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
MGM Resorts
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Brown-Forman
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
Snapchat
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Zoom Video Communications
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$18.3M Vol.
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 2027
54%
Yes
54%
No
46%
March 31, 2027
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
September 30, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.0M Vol.
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
2.0T-2.5T
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
1.5T-2.0T
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
2.5T-3.0T
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
1.0T-1.5T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
3.0T-3.5T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
3.5T+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$2.7M Vol.
Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company H
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company I
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company J
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$2.3M Vol.
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Goldman Sachs
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
Morgan Stanley
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
Bank of America
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
JPMorgan
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
UBS
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Citigroup
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Super Heavy booster explodes?
89%
Yes
89%
No
11%
Successful splash down?
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$1.7M Vol.
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
1.8T–2.0T
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
1.6T–1.8T
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
1.4T–1.6T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
1.2T–1.4T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
1.0T–1.2T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.4M Vol.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
Super Heavy booster explodes?
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Successful splash down?
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
Chopsticks catch Starship?
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$785k Vol.
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
98%
chance
Yes
No
$572k Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
400–600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
300–400B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<100B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$506k Vol.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
October 31, 2026
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$443k Vol.
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Glasses
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Earbuds/Headphones
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Necklace
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Watch
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Ring
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$438k Vol.
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$315k Vol.
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$314k Vol.
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026
62%
Yes
62%
No
38%
December 2026
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
January 2027
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
October 2026
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
February 2027
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
No IPO before 2028
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$290k Vol.
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
18%
chance
Yes
No
$281k Vol.
3rd Largest Company end of September?
Alphabet
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$234k Vol.
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
71%
chance
Yes
No
$200k Vol.
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
97%
chance
Yes
No
$175k Vol.
2nd Largest Company end of September?
Apple
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$167k Vol.
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
<20B
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
50B–75B
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
75B–100B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
20B–30B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
30B–40B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$149k Vol.
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$129k Vol.
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
95%
chance
Yes
No
$123k Vol.
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.75–$2.00T
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
$2.00–$2.25T
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
$2.25–$2.50T
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$1.50–$1.75T
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$2.50T+
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$1.25–$1.50T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$95k Vol.
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
100%
SpaceX
SpaceX
OpenAI
$90k Vol.
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
$70+
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
$60+
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
$75+
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
$80+
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$85k Vol.
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
69%
chance
Yes
No
$80k Vol.
AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 2027
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$57k Vol.
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs
78%
Yes
78%
No
22%
Morgan Stanley
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
Deutsche Bank
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
JPMorgan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Barclays
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
UBS
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$54k Vol.
Deepseek IPO by...?
December 31, 2027
79%
Yes
79%
No
21%
September 30, 2027
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
June 30, 2027
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
March 31, 2027
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$43k Vol.
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?
$900B-$1.00T
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
$1.00-$1.10T
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$1.10-$1.20T
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$800-$900B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.20-$1.30T
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.30T+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$38k Vol.
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$34k Vol.
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